Monday, December 14, 2009

The Full Meltdown



Look at todays report on the Daily Presidential Tracking Poll from Rasmussen.


This is an administration in full meltdown. Like all wounded beasts it will now become more dangerous. Here are the key quotes from Rasmussen with commentary interspersed;
24% of the nation's voters Strongly Approve of the way that Barack Obama is performing his role as President. Forty-two percent (42%) Strongly Disapprove giving Obama a Presidential Approval Index rating of -18.

That’s a one point improvement from yesterday when Obama’s Approval Index rating fell to the lowest level yet recorded. Prior to the past three days, the Approval Index had never fallen below -15 during Obama’s time in office
This qualifies as a breakthrough. If Obama was a stock there would be massive short selling starting now.
As the health care plan struggles in the Senate, public opposition remains stable. Fifty-six percent (56% ) oppose the plan working its way through Congress while just 40% favor it. In Nevada, the health care bill is causing problems for Senate Majority Leader Harry Reid’s bid for re-election.
For the Democrats to continue to back Health Care or Cap 'n Trade is suicidal. The election proved that with massive media assistance and bare faced fraud and thuggery abetted by local operatives in places like Missouri, Ohio and Minnesota the Left can seize an office. That does not mean that they can govern. The impending loss of Reid will be the second time that a Left wing party leader in the US Senate has been rejected by his constituents. The Democrats will attempt to change the electorate, with immigration amnesty to save their jobs, but the timing is now against them. They would have been better off for the long run if they had given the Presidency to McCain and extracted the immigration changes as a payment.
Overall, 44% of voters say they at least somewhat approve of the President's performance. That’s the lowest level yet measured for this president. Previously, his overall approval rating had fallen to 45% twice, once in early September and once in late November.

Fifty-five percent (55%) now disapprove.
As I have indicated before on this subject the support for Obama appears to decline as a step function. Once he declines by 3-5% a massive publicity effort temporarily recovers half the loss, until the process repeats. Look at the long term trend line below.
Seventy-two percent (72%) of Democrats now offer their approval while 80% of Republicans disapprove. Among voters not affiliated with either major party, just 36% approve.
The undecideds and non-affiliates are breaking right. The fantasy theory of the Left was that the decline of the major parties in registration was masking a hidden army of indoctrinated Green Party, Socialist Workers Party and Working Families Party supporters who will transform America. None of that was true. The parties are declining because the people are less dependant on old fashioned Chicago style machines for basic jobs and services. Obamaism is an effort to replicate that 100 year outdated model on a national scale. It is withering in the light of day.
Seventy-seven percent (77%) of liberals approve while 76% of conservatives disapprove. The bad news for the President is that there are a lot more conservatives in the country than liberals. However, he gets a bit of a boost because 57% of moderate voters still offer their approval.
My suspicion is that there is a bias in the responses because most people who are Leftists call themselves Moderates. So those Moderate supporters are really Democrats anyway and as more information comes out true Moderate Democrats will break right. To some extent this resembles the opportunity the Republicans had in 1980. The Democrats scored significant gains recently by running candidates who looked more conservative on some issues then the Republicans did. The track record of the administration and their votes in office give the Republicans an opportunity to reclaim those seats, or flip some of the Blue Dogs into crossing the aisle.
The President earns approval from 37% of White voters and 98% of African-American voters.
This is the true tragedy of this Administration. A narrow ideologue, fronting for a group of foreign and white economic and political special interests, seized upon the credulity and loyalty of a segment of America. The gulf has never been wider and it will take decades to heal. The only hope is that a massive reaction builds within the black community in which Obama is seen as a product of white and foreign ideologies that have nothing to do with the experience of their people in America. It would help if the the first target of such a campaign would be Eeric Holder, who sold out his community and his hometown of New York to advance these foreign extremists.

Look at the trends. Obama declined from January through March, recovered slightly in April and May, entered another steep decline from June through August, recovered slightly with massive exertions in September and October and despite the massive theatrics associated with his efforts on Health Care and the Nobel Prize, efforts that yield diminishing returns, he was unable to sustain positive momentum and now has resumed a decline. This will truly be a Winter of Discontent for the Democrats. The public is becoming slowly aware of the fraud behind the Global Warming schemes. The effort to seize control of Health Care has ruptured his alliances. The politicization of the War by moving the prosecutions to NY and the discontent of returning veterans with his performance are all serious blows. His overseas conduct has proven embarrassing. A series of scandals, such as the "Safe Schools Czar" who is into bizarre sexual practices advocacy, rip his credibility. More important is that the massive debt and theft of public funds give credence to fears of greater disasters to come. The recovery is not happening. The public declines to buy into Government Motors Ford is expanding market share as the cronies of BHO suffer from the appearance that doing business with them is equivalent to being a reciever of stolen goods. Businesses will not invest or hire in an atmosphere of financial amateurism and legal thuggery.

2 comments:

Jamie Irons said...

Great analysis! Man, I pray you're right!

Jamie Irons

Jamie Irons said...

Great analysis! Man, I pray you're right!

Jamie Irons